Okay, put that way, I know the plot sounds pretty fucking ridiculous, but don't yell at me. I didn't write the script.
Skeptophilia
Fighting Gullibility with Sarcasm, 6 days a week
Friday, March 20, 2026
Hellscape
Okay, put that way, I know the plot sounds pretty fucking ridiculous, but don't yell at me. I didn't write the script.
Thursday, March 19, 2026
Whistling words
I've long been fascinated by the phenomenon of priming, where our interpretation of a sensory stimulus is altered by what we expected to see or hear. An excellent example of priming is this famous image:
It works in the auditory realm, too. My wife and I are absolutely addicted to the wonderful British series The Great Pottery Throwdown, where a group of twelve amateur potters participate in a series of challenges and ultimately are whittled down to three finalists and a single winner. Carol and I are both potters -- I won't speak for her, but I can say with confidence that if I were on Throwdown I would be eliminated in the first round -- and it's astonishing what these artists can create given the demands and time constraints. (I also really enjoy how kind they are to each other. Although it's a competition, they help each other, and everyone seems genuinely heartbroken every time one of them gets sent home.) Well, we're re-watching one of the early seasons, and there's a young woman on the show with a pronounced Welsh accent. Even though I'm usually pretty good at understanding people from the UK, I'm baffled by something like half of what she says...
... until we turn on captioning. Then I have no problem. And it's not just that I'm reading along (although I certainly am) -- it really seems like her voice is much more understandable with that little bit of help.
The reason this comes up is a recent study by Cambridge University engineer Václav Volhejn, who is working with sine-wave speech, a voice simulation using a mixture of pure tones (sine waves). The result sounds like someone trying to imitate human speech using a slide whistle. (You can read how he creates the audio here.) If I close my eyes, I can barely get anything from it -- maybe a word here or there. But once I get the cues of what I was supposed to hear, suddenly it seems obvious. The effect lasts, too. If I turn off captioning and go back and listen to the audio again, I can still understand it nearly perfectly.
How this all works is not understood, but probably has something to do with how our brain accomplishes recall. A 1994 study found that we're primed to recognize words faster if we have prior exposure to semantically-related words; shown the word dog, for example, we recognize the word wolf more quickly than if we're presented it without the prime. We're also primed to anticipate -- and therefore more quickly recognize -- words that are commonly found in association (lot would be primed by parking), or words that have similar sounds even if they're semantically unrelated (ground would be primed by round). That it has something to do with the brain's recall network is supported by research suggesting that priming effects vanish very early in the development of dementia; apparently even before significant cognitive impairment occurs, dementia patients lose their ability to make these kinds of efficient associations.
What's strangest, though, is that you can be primed two different ways with equal strength. This article from Stranger Dimensions contains an audio clip of sine-wave speech that can be primed to sound like either green needle or brainstorm -- which have almost nothing in common phonetically, and don't even have the same number of syllables. Which you hear depends on which text you're looking at, and if you're like me you can go back and forth indefinitely, from exactly the same audio input.
Then there's the McGurk effect, where what we see actually overrides what we hear so completely that it can cause us not to understand what's coming in through our ears. The two syllables ba and va sound a great deal alike, but the first sound differs in how it's produced; /b/ is a voiced bilabial stop, /v/ a voiced labiodental fricative. But when we see someone's mouth moving in an audio/video clip that's been altered to make it look like he's saying va when he's actually saying ba, we hear va. It's absolutely convincing. Somehow, we're primed by seeing his mouth move -- explaining why it's always easier to understand someone face to face than on the telephone.
All of this is further evidence of a point I've made many times here at Skeptophilia; what you perceive is incomplete, inaccurate, and dependent on a great many external and internal conditions that can change from one moment to the next. "I know it happened that way, I saw it with my own eyes!" is fairly close to nonsense. Oh, sure; for most of us, our sensory-perceptual systems work well enough to get by on. But the idea that what we seem to perceive is some kind of perfect transcription of reality is simply wrong.
It's humbling and a little frightening how easily fooled we are, but the implications for how our brain retrieves stored information are absolutely fascinating. So even if we should be a little more careful about acting certain of the accuracy of our own perceptions and memories, it does open the window on how our brains make sense of the world we live in.
Wednesday, March 18, 2026
Kakistocracy
I picked up a copy of John Julius Norwich's A Short History of Byzantium (at almost four hundred pages, it's only short by comparison to his full three-volume History of Byzantium) at a used book sale. To be fair, it couldn't afford to be much shorter because it covers about eleven hundred years of history. I got it because it's a time and place I don't know much about, and when I opened it last week I kind of steeled myself for a dry, college textbook approach.
Turns out I shouldn't have been apprehensive. Norwich is not only a great historian, he's a great writer, and his prose gallops right along, focusing not solely on the usual names and dates but on the personalities involved. And... wow. What a parade of lunatics. The book certainly illustrates the truth of Dave Barry's trenchant quip, "When trouble arises and things look bad, there is always one individual who perceives a solution and is willing to take command. Very often, that individual is crazy."
Honestly, there were a few good ones. The emperor Leo VI was called "the Wise" for good reason; and you may recall that I wrote about his scholarly and good-natured son, Constantine VII Porphyrogenitus, here at Skeptophilia a couple of years ago because of his deep devotion to preserving the written works of the ancients. But some of the bad ones -- ye gods and little fishes. Michael III was an unstable drunkard about whom Norwich says, "Content to leave the responsibilities of government to others, he was unable to check his own moral decline which, in the last five years of his life, finally reduced him to a level of degradation that fully earned him his later sobriquet of 'the Sot.'" Constantine IV had "a streak of insanity that... [transformed] him into a monster whose only attributes were a pathological suspicion of all around him and an insatiable lust for blood." Nicephorus II was a "sanctimonious and unattractive old puritan" who was "pitiless and cruel, and whose meanness and avarice were notorious."
You might have heard the term kakistocracy -- "government by the worst." (Interesting that it went from being a nearly unknown word to being kind of all over the place in the last ten years. I wonder why that is?) Well, the Byzantines, with only a handful of exceptions, had what amounted to eleven centuries of kakistocracy, enduring long periods of intermittent chaos before ultimately collapsing into ruins in the mid-fifteenth century.
What has struck me over and over, though, is that throughout its long history, people did whatever they could to get into positions of power, trying either to clamber onto the throne itself or at least get close to it. Why on earth would they want that? I mean, on one level, I get it; power usually comes along with money and luxury, and the peasants of the Byzantine Empire didn't lead any happier lives than peasants in any other age. My question, though, is why in the hell anyone was brave enough to risk it. Very few emperors died peacefully of old age; bunches of them were deposed or murdered outright. The same went for the nobles and the imperial advisors. And being on the losing side often didn't just mean exile; there's example after example of dethroned emperors and ousted courtiers being castrated and having their noses cut off and their eyes gouged out.
You'd think that seeing this happen once or twice would be enough to induce anyone else having royal aspirations to say, "Um, yeah, no fucking way." You'd be wrong. The amazing truth is that having one guy get mutilated and exiled -- and after all that torture and blood loss, usually they didn't survive for very long afterward -- seemed to trigger the other competitors to say, "Cool! One less rival to worry about! I'm sure that won't happen to me."
The whole thing reminds me of a Tony Robbins motivational seminar a few years ago that culminated in a supposed mind-over-matter exercise of walking on hot coals. The predictable happened, and thirty people were treated in a Dallas hospital for burns on the soles of their feet. When I heard about this, I immediately wondered why, when the first couple of people shrieked in pain, the rest weren't dissuaded. Did they line up in inverse order of IQ, or something? But apparently that tendency not to learn from other people's hard experience is not a modern phenomenon, to judge by A Short History of Byzantium.
You can't know how you'd react unless you'd actually been raised in that culture; that's one of the problems with passing value judgments on figures from history. But here, from my twenty-first century perspective, I find it a little hard to fathom. I can't imagine how anyone would think "you have a chance at being powerful... but you may end up losing your eyes, nose, and balls" is a good bet, especially considering how many of the emperors and their cadre found themselves drawing the short straw.
What also strikes me about this period of history is how many of the central players -- not only the emperors, but the Patriarchs of what would become the Eastern Orthodox Church -- were so completely certain that they were right. About everything. Me, I'm hardly sure of anything, but these guys make the Pope's claims of infallibility sound like waffling. One of the biggest disputes -- that went on for a hundred years and cost thousands of lives -- was about iconoclasm, the idea (still prevalent in most Muslim sects) that it was sacrilegious to depict holy figures in art, and worse still to venerate or worship them. The Byzantine iconoclasts went around destroying every piece of religious art they could find, and many of them were perfectly willing to murder anyone who got in the way. The iconodules, or "icon-worshipers," were equally violent. And because both the imperial throne and the Patriarchate swung back and forth between the iconoclasts and the iconodules, each time the ground shifted there was a bloody purge of the ones who had previously been in ascendancy.
I mean, come on. So some guy wants to pray to an image of the Virgin Mary, and you personally don't like that idea. Is the next logical step "I must therefore cut his head off"? Are you really that sure your position is the correct and God-approved one?
Of course, once again we haven't really progressed that far. We have a Secretary of Defense who apparently thinks that God is standing by smiling while we bomb Iranian girls' schools, and at least a few prominent military leaders who are having multiple orgasms over the thought that Trump's little "excursion" might be the lead-up to Armageddon.
I dunno. All it really proves to me is that I honestly have no idea what makes people tick most of the time. I've wondered before if I might be some kind of changeling, because when I look around me, mostly what I think is, "None of this makes any fucking sense."
Anyhow, I recommend A Short History of Byzantium if you are (1) a history buff, (2) like well-written non-fiction, and (3) want further evidence that the human race is irredeemably weird. I will say, though, that if ever time travel is invented, I am not going back to Byzantium. Fascinating as it is, and little as I have any desire to be in a position of power, it still was not a safe place for pretty much anyone. I like my various bodily organs securely attached where they are, thank you very much.
Tuesday, March 17, 2026
Vanished into the wilderness
This comes up because of a claim over at UFO Sightings Hotspot sent to me by a loyal reader of Skeptophilia, where much is being made about the alleged disappearance of people (hundreds of them, apparently) in parks around the world. The article comes along with a 24-minute video, which is worth watching if you have the time and don't mind doing a few facepalms, but this passage from the post will give you the gist:
The mystery of hundreds of people vanishing in national parks and forests is possible linked to a strange and highly unusual predator that is living in the woods and forests all across the world and is able to overpower someone in an instant.
People disappear in the Carpathian Mountains of Romania, Mount Kailash in Tibet, the Markawasi Stone Forest of Peru and in national parks and forests in U.S.A.
While paranormal researcher Stephen Young described Markawasi as a dimensional portal and suggested the strange energy visitors have described feeling there is possibly caused by a confluence of ley lines or the piezoelectric properties of granite, Glenn Canady from BeforeItsNews reported that David Paulidis, a former cop began investigating a story about the hundreds that vanished from National Parks and forests in U.S.A... David began making his own list and discovered there were over 30 cluster sites where most of these vanishings were happening. He noticed that the people that vanish often do so right under the noses of others in the area. The missing also shed their clothes right away and they are folded neatly. One of the Park Rangers said it was like you were standing straight up and you melted away, that’s what it looked like!
Let's consider for a moment a couple of other explanations, shall we? Then I'd exhort you to weigh them along with the supernatural ones, and see what seems to you to be the most likely.
There are two things about hiking in the wilderness that people, especially urban and suburban dwellers, often fail to take into account. My perspective from this comes from a long personal history of back-country hiking, starting when I was a kid and my dad and I used to go to the canyon country of Arizona every summer to hunt for rocks and fossils. Later, after I moved to Washington state, I used to go out in summer for weeks at a time up into the Cascades and the Olympic Range, relishing the silence and the open space after spending the rest of the year in the bustle and noise of Seattle.
If you've never done this yourself, the first thing you need to realize is that the wilderness is freakin' huge. And empty. On my trips into the Cascades, there were times that I'd go a week without seeing a single person. The place is a big expanse of mountains, glaciers, and trees; if I'd gotten lost and gone missing, perhaps been hurt, the chances are very much against my ever being found again. I ran across a comment on a website about hiker disappearances that seems appropriate, here:
We were out rockhounding in the desert and followed some tank tracks. Turns out they were WWII tank tracks, and in one gully we found a long dead US Army Jeep, upside down. We were likely the first people to have seen it since 1940 or so. We took the shovel. That's how we know - it hadn't been stripped. A Jeep - lost for 40 years. So - yes, a body would be easy by comparison, especially since animals would eat most of it.
Once you get off a trail, it's not hard to be on ground that hasn't been trod for decades. And get lost.
Look at the moronic stuff people will do in front of witnesses, often while right next to gigantic "caution" signs. A couple of summers ago, my wife and I went to Yellowstone National Park, and we saw many members of the species Homo idioticus doing things like walking right up to bison, elk, and bears, stepping off of boardwalks in order to get up close and personal with hot-enough-to-melt-your-skin-off hot springs, and climbing on crumbling rock formations. At least here, if something bad happened, there were people around to help (not that in the case of the grizzlies or hot springs, there'd have been much we could do). But out in the middle of nowhere? You're on your own. And I can use myself as a case-in-point that even in those much more precarious circumstances, people still do dumb stuff.
So you don't need to conjecture "dimensional portals," ley lines, or anything else supernatural to account for disappearances. The immensity of nature, coupled with natural human stupidity, is certainly sufficient. Add to this our penchant for imagining stuff while alone or in unfamiliar surroundings, and you can explain the data, such as it is, without recourse to the paranormal.
And trust me. Whatever the explanation, it has nothing to do with the "piezoelectric properties of granite."
Monday, March 16, 2026
The road not taken
Not so the Ediacaran Assemblage.
They may have been animals, although they were sessile (fixed to the seafloor) via stalks, and had weird frond-like structures of uncertain purpose (but which may have been a mechanism either for oxygen extraction or for filter feeding). So if you were to look at a living one, your initial impression might well be that it was some odd sort of seaweed, and not an animal at all.
Not only are they bizarre-looking, many seem to have no living descendants, including Obamus coronatus (which looks like a French cruller) and the hubcap-like Tribrachidium heraldicum, one of the only known animals to have triradial symmetry.
There's a misconception about evolution -- that it's linear and progressive, that one form supersedes another in some kind of stepwise fashion based upon an identifiable "improvement," such as increase in speed, defensive or offensive capabilities, ability to access food, or intelligence. While you can find examples where this appears to have happened, there's a large measure of the chaotic involved in the history of life. Not only do we see sudden and drastic changes in the climate and environmental conditions -- which, after all, are the biggest drivers of selective pressure -- random occurrences like volcanic eruptions and meteorite strikes can create a situation where extinction had way less to do with poor evolutionary fitness than simply being in the wrong place at the wrong time.
Saturday, March 14, 2026
A fine and private place
I recently joined Substack (I encourage you to check it out and subscribe if you like -- my focus there is different than here at Skeptophilia), and a poignant post there got me thinking about graveyards.
I've always been fascinated with cemeteries -- and, even as a child, didn't find them to be scary places. Somber, perhaps, but peaceful, tranquil, quiet. Part of it was simple familiarity; I lived with my grandmother for about a year and a half when I was a kid, in the little village of Broussard, Louisiana, and her house was only half a block away from Sacred Heart Catholic Church, with its attendant (and very old) cemetery. So in my free time I spent many hours wandering amongst the gravestones, reading the inscriptions and wondering who those people had been, what their lives and deaths had been like.
So okay, maybe I was kind of a peculiar child. I doubt anyone who knows me would find that particularly surprising.
Some years later, I visited the cemetery in southwestern Pennsylvania where my great-grandparents were buried (as well as many cousins of varying degrees, and older generations of the family -- the Scottish/English side of my family lived in that part of the world for two centuries). While most of the inscriptions in the (largely French-speaking) community of Broussard were pretty prosaic -- names, dates of birth and death, and every once in a while something like "Chère Maman" or "Toujours Dans Nos Coeurs" -- the ones in the mostly Anglo-Celtic, Protestant community where the Pennsylvania branch of my family resided frequently waxed poetic. I still remember one that had the haunting, eerie lines,
Remember, friend, as you pass by,
As you are now, so once was I;
As I am now, so you will be;
Prepare for death, and follow me.
Grim, but also strangely beautiful.
Of course, not all of them were so thought-provoking. There was also one that said,
Here lies my wife, Sarah Bly.
She's at peace, and so am I.
They all contain stories, from the poignant to the banal. Some of the tales they tell, though, are hidden, and the graves can hold secrets you'd never guess. I'd long wondered why my great-great grandfather, Elias Scott, was buried there when he died in August of 1884, while his wife, Harriet (Kent) Scott, who'd died only two months earlier, was not. It was only after going through transcripts of old newspaper clippings that I found out the reason. Elias had suffered from "shaking palsy" (now called Parkinson's disease) and had been in a slow decline for years. That whole side of the family was too poor to afford good nursing help, and Harriet had been solely responsible for his day-to-day care. According to the article I found in the Waynesburg Republican, Harriet had succumbed to despair from her burdens and had taken her own life by poison, explaining why she wasn't buried with her husband -- many sects of Christianity forbid the burial of suicides on consecrated ground, which adds an extra layer of tragedy to the whole story. The article did say, though, that she had been "an excellent lady when in her right mind, and had the respect of all who knew her." I was so shaken by this discovery that it inspired me to write a poem -- infrequent for me, as poetry is not my usual medium -- which I titled Nocturne for Mrs. Scott:
Her husband watches from the bed they share,
Watery eyes following her deft movements,
The cleaning and tidying, done with no conscious thought.
Take his empty water glass, put away the medicine the doctor left.
Straighten the lace on the bedside table, pull back the curtains.
She will not meet his eyes.
Her mind is caught in a web of remembering,
Trapped like a dying moth waiting for the sting, the poison, and oblivion.
She sees a time when this weak and withered man
Whose thin limbs and creaking voice she despises,
Was a laughing farm boy with chestnut hair and powerful arms,
And she remembers the chase, and wanting to be caught,
His arm looping around her waist,
Catching her up, twirling, spinning, kissing,
And falling to the ground together.
She despises him more because it wasn't always as it is now,
The dying old man fading and failing on the linen sheets,
Leaving her still in the midst of her strength,
Still in the depth of her own needs.
There is a brown glass bottle in the cabinet, near his medicine.
The paper label is gashed with crimson lettering.
Each time she pours the medicine, thick and dark, into a cup for him to drink from,
Her eyes brush across the label with a touch like snow on bare skin,
And she wonders how long it would take, and how she would feel, free.
Then she sees the laughing boy he once was,
And she leans against the counter
And weeps for her own weakness and wickedness and foolishness.
One summer morning, after the cleaning and tidying and straightening and pulling back of curtains,
The brown glass bottle with the crimson lettering
Fell from her numb fingers to shatter on the tile floor of the kitchen,
A trickle of dark fluid staining the jagged fragments.
And upstairs, the creaking voice, weak from need, weak from not wanting to need,
Still calls for her.
Let us roll all our strength and all
Our sweetness up into one ball,
And tear our pleasures with rough strife
Through the iron gates of life:
Thus, though we cannot make our Sun
Stand still, yet we will make him run.
Friday, March 13, 2026
Worlds in collision
In 2021, University of Washington astronomer Anastasios (Andy) Tsanidakis was reviewing data collected by the European Space Agency's Gaia Mission, and discovered something really strange.
An ordinary, Sun-like star called Gaia20ehk -- eleven thousand light years away in the constellation Puppis -- had, up until 2016, a nearly flat energy output. This is more or less what our Sun would look like from that distance; yes, there are minor fluctuations, but (fortunately for us) it's pretty stable over short time intervals.
Then... well, here it is in Tsanidakis's words: "The star's light output was nice and flat, but starting in 2016 it had these three dips in brightness," he said. "And then, right around 2021, it went completely bonkers. I can't emphasize enough that stars like our Sun don't do that. So when we saw this one, we were like 'Hello, what's going on here?'"
The chaotic fluctuations in energy output were across the electromagnetic spectrum, but strongest in the infrared region. And stranger still, a more detailed analysis showed that the peculiar behavior was not from the star itself, but because there was -- suddenly -- a huge, irregular debris cloud surrounding it. This rock and dust eclipsed the star's light, but some of it was apparently radiating itself, accounting for the wild yo-yoing in the infrared. "The infrared light curve was the complete opposite of the visible light," Tzanidakis said. "As the visible light began to flicker and dim, the infrared light spiked. Which could mean that the material blocking the star is hot -- so hot that it's glowing in the infrared."
Tsanidakis and his team figured out that there was only one phenomenon that fit all the observations; two of Gaia20ehk's planets had collided with each other.
"It's incredible that various telescopes caught this impact in real time," Tzanidakis said. "There are only a few other planetary collisions of any kind on record, and none that bear so many similarities to the impact that created the Earth and Moon. If we can observe more moments like this elsewhere in the galaxy, it will teach us lots about the formation of our world."

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