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Astronomer 1: I'm completely out of ideas. All the cool names for observatories are already taken.Astronomer 2: Plus, don't you think it's time we do some actual research rather than spending all our time trying to name this damn telescope array?Astronomer 1 and Astronomer 2: *look at each other*Astronomer 1 and Astronomer 2 (simultaneously): I have an idea.
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Come they LA LA pah-rum-puh-pum-pumAnd so on and so forth. He was singing it with hearty good cheer, so I felt kind of guilty when I realized that he'd knocked me out of the game and blurted out, "Are you fucking kidding me?" a little louder than I intended, eliciting a shocked look from the clerk and a significant diminishment in the general Christmas spirit amongst those around me.
A newborn LA LA LA pah-rum-puh-pum-pum
Our LA LA gifts we bring pah-rum-puh-pum-pum
LA LA before the king pah-rum-puh-pum-pum, rum-puh-pum-pum, rum-puh-pum-pum
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My novel In the Midst of Lions opens with a character named Mary Hansard -- an ordinary forty-something high school physics teacher -- suddenly realizing she can see the future.
More than that, really; she now has no reliable way of telling the future from the past. She "remembers" both of them, and if she has no external context by which to decide, she can't tell if what's in her mind occurred in the past or will occur in the future. Eventually, she realizes that the division of the passage of time she'd always considered real and inviolable has changed. Instead of past, present, and future, there are now only two divisions: present and not-present. Here's how she comes to see things:
In the past two months, it felt like the universe had changed shape. The linear slow march of time was clean gone, and what was left was a block that was unalterable, the people and events in it frozen in place like butterflies in amber. Her own position in it had become as observer rather than participant. She could see a wedge of the block, extending back into her distant past and forward into her all-too-short future. Anything outside that wedge was invisible... She found that it completely dissolved her anxiety about what might happen next. Being not-present, the future couldn’t hurt her. If pain lay ahead of her, it was as removed from her as her memories of a broken arm when she was twelve. Neither one had any impact on the present as it slowly glided along, a moving flashlight beam following her footsteps through the wrecked cityscape.
I found myself thinking about Mary and her peculiar forwards-and-backwards perception while I was reading physicist Sean Carroll's wonderful and mind-blowing book From Eternity to Here: A Quest for the Ultimate Theory of Time, which looks at the puzzling conundrum of what physicists call time's arrow -- why, when virtually all physical laws are time-reversible, there is a clear directionality to our perceptions of the universe. A classic example is the motion of billiard balls on a table. Each ball's individual motion is completely time-reversible (at least if you discount friction with the table); if you filmed a ball rolling and bouncing off a bumper, then ran the recording backwards, it would be impossible to tell which was the original video and which was the reversed one. The laws of motion make no differentiation between time running forward and time running backward.
But.
If you played a video of the initial break of the balls at the beginning of the game, then ran the recording backwards -- showing the balls rolling around and after a moment, assembling themselves back into a perfect triangle -- it would be blatantly obvious which was the reversed video. The difference, Carroll explains, is entropy, which is a measure of the number of possible ways a system can exist and be indistinguishable on the macro level. What I mean by this is that the racked balls are in a low-entropy state; there aren't that many ways you can assemble fifteen balls into a perfect equilateral triangle. On the other hand, after the break, with the balls scattered around the table seemingly at random -- there are nearly an infinite number of ways you can have the balls arranged that would be more or less indistinguishable, in the sense that any of them would be equally likely to occur following the break. Given photographs of thousands of different positions, not even Commander Data could determine which one was the pic taken immediately after the balls stopped moving.
Sure, it's possible you could get all the balls rolling in such a way that they would come to rest reassembled into a perfect triangle. It's just extremely unlikely. The increase in entropy, it seems, is based on what will probably happen. There are so many high-entropy states and so few low-entropy states that if you start with a low-entropy arrangement, the chances are it will evolve over time into a high-entropy one. The result is that it is (very) strongly statistically favored that entropy increases over time.
The part of the book that I am still trying to parse is chapter nine, "Information and Life," where he ties the physical arrow of time (an example of which I described above) with the psychological arrow of time. Why can't we all do what Mary Hansard can do -- see the past and future both -- if the only thing that keeps us knowing which way is forward and which way is backward is the probability of a state's evolution? After all, there are plenty of cases where entropy can locally go down; a seed growing into a tree, for example. (This only occurs because of a constant input of energy; contrary to what creationists would have you believe, the Second Law of Thermodynamics doesn't disprove evolution, because living things are open systems and require an energy source. Turn off the Sun, and entropy would increase fast.)
So if entropy actually explains the psychological arrow of time, why can I remember events where entropy went down -- such as yesterday, when I took a lump of clay and fashioned it into a sculpture?
Carroll's explanation kind of made my mind blow up. He says that our memories themselves aren't real reflections of the past; they're a state of objects in our environment and neural firings in our brain in the present that we then assemble into a picture of what we think the past was, based on our assumption that entropy was lower in the past than it is now. He writes:
So let's imagine you have in your possession something you think of as a reliable record of the past: for example, a photograph taken of your tenth birthday party. You might say to yourself, "I can be confident that I was wearing a red shirt at my tenth birthday party, because this photograph of that event shows me wearing a red shirt."...
[Is] the present macrostate including the photo... enough to conclude with confidence that we were really wearing a red shirt at our tenth birthday party?
Not even close. We tend to think that [it is], without really worrying about the details too much as we get through our lives. Roughly speaking, we figure that a photograph like that is a highly specific arrangement of its constituent molecules. (Likewise for a memory in our brain of the same event.) It's not as if those molecules are just going to randomly assemble themselves into the form of that particular photo -- that's astronomically unlikely. If, however, there really was an event in the past corresponding to the image portrayed in the photo, and someone was there with a camera, then the existence of the photo becomes relatively likely. It's therefore very reasonable to conclude that the birthday party really did happen in the way seen in the photo.
All of those statements are reasonable, but the problem is that they are not nearly enough to justify the final conclusion... Yes, the photograph is a very specific and unlikely arrangement of molecules. However, the story we are telling to "explain" it -- an elaborate reconstruction of the past, involving birthday parties and cameras and photographs surviving essentially undisturbed to the present day -- is even less likely than the photo all by itself...
Think of it this way: You would never think to appeal to some elaborate story in the future to explain the existence of a particular artifact in the present. If we ask about the future of our birthday photo, we might have some plans to frame it or whatnot, but we'll have to admit to a great deal of uncertainty -- we could lose it, it could fall into a puddle and decay, or it could burn in a fire. Those are all perfectly plausible extrapolations of the present state into the future, even with the specific anchor point provided by the photo here in the present. So why are we so confident about what the photo implies concerning the past?
The answer, he says, is that we're relying on probability and the likelihood that the past had lower entropy -- in other words, that the photo didn't come from some random collision of molecules, just as our surmise about the billiard balls' past came from the fact that a perfect triangular arrangement is way less likely than a random one. All we have, Carroll says, is our knowledge of the present; everything else is an inference. In every present moment, our reconstruction of the past is a dream, pieced together using whatever we're experiencing at the time.
So maybe we're not as different from Mary Hansard, with her moving flashlight beam gliding along and spotlighting the present, as I'd thought.
Mind = blown.
I'm still not completely convinced I'm understanding all the subtleties in Carroll's arguments, but I get enough of it that I've been thinking about it ever since I put the book down. But in any case, I'd better wrap this up, because...
... I'm running short on time.
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It seems like every time researchers look further into our sensory-perceptive systems, we have another hole punched in our certainty that what we think we're perceiving is actually real.
We've looked at optical illusions -- and the fact that dogs fall for 'em, too. We've considered two kinds of auditory illusions, the postdictive effect and the McGurk effect. Sometimes we see patterns of motion in still objects -- and illusory "impossible" motion that our brains just can't figure out. A rather simple protocol convinced test subjects their hands had turned to stone. Stimulating a particular clump of neurons in the brain made patients see the doctor's face as melting. We can even be tricked into feeling like we're controlling a second body, that just happens to be invisible.
As eminent astrophysicist Neil deGrasse Tyson put it, "The human brain is rife with ways of getting it wrong." Honestly, at this point it's a wonder we trust anything we perceive -- and yet you still hear people say "I saw it with my own eyes" as if that somehow carried any weight at all. Add to that all the problems with the reliability of memory, and you have to ask why eyewitness accounts are still considered the gold standard of evidence.
If you needed more proof of this, take a look at some research that came out last week from Ruhr-Universität Bochum into what happens when a person watches a virtual-reality avatar of their own body. Participants were suited up in VR gear, and after a period of acclimation -- during which they got used to their avatar's arms and hands moving as their own did -- they were instructed to use a virtual representation of a stick to touch their avatar's hand. Nearly all of the subjects reported feeling a sensation of touch, or at least a tingling, at the spot the virtual stick appeared to touch.
The researchers decided to check and see if the sensation occurred simply by drawing awareness to the hand, so they did the same thing only using a virtual laser pointer -- and no feeling of touch occurred.
Apparently all it took was convincing the subjects they were being touched to stimulate the sensation itself.
"The phantom touch illusion also occurs when the subjects touched parts of their bodies that were not visible in virtual reality," said study co-author Marita Metzler. "This suggests that human perception and body sensation are not only based on vision, but on a complex combination of many sensory perceptions and the internal representation of our body."****************************************
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I think my love of science comes from the joy of unlocking one at a time the pieces of the universe that were mysteries. It's why I'm such a dilettante -- someone who, as an acquaintance once described me, has knowledge a light year across and an inch deep. I find it all fascinating. I was never able to focus on one thing long enough to really become an expert. I'd start in one direction, but in short order I'd say, "Oh, look, something shiny!" and take off on some unrelated tangent.
I may not have much in the way of academic credentials, but it makes me a force to be reckoned with when playing Trivial Pursuit.
It's okay, really. I enjoy the fact that my brain makes up for in breadth what it lacks in depth. Which is why last week we had posts about astronomy, geology, glaciology, paleontology, and cosmology, and today we're on to archaeology.
Because of my love of mysteries, I've always been drawn to trying to understand civilizations whose relics are scanty or poorly-understood. The Incas, Aztecs, and Mayas. The ancestors of the First Nations of North America. The Songhai Empire and the kingdoms of Benin, Congo, and Aksum in Africa. The ancient history of Southeast Asia and Australia. And while European history is generally considered to be well-studied and accessible, that's because most of the focus is on the Romans, Greeks, and Norse, who left extensive written records. The Celts, Slavs, and the southern Germanic tribes, for whom we have far fewer extant records (and many of those were penned by conquering cultures which took few pains to represent them fairly or accurately), have an ancient history that is largely lost to the shadows of time.
Or... maybe not entirely lost.
Archaeologists are now using sophisticated technological tools to discern traces of long-gone settlements, recovering traces of civilizations that have been up till now complete ciphers. The reason this comes up is a study by a team from University College Dublin, working with colleagues in Serbia and Slovenia, which used aerial photography to piece together the remnants of 3,500 year old settlements in the southern Carpathian Basin -- and found that the area was as thickly-settled as many of the far better known cultures who were at their height around the same time.
"Some of the largest sites, we call these mega-forts, have been known for a few years now, such as GradiÅ¡te IÄ‘oÅ¡, Csanádpalota, Sântana or the mind-blowing CorneÅŸti Iarcuri enclosed by thirty-three kilometers of ditches and eclipsing in size the contemporary citadels and fortifications of the Hittites, Mycenaeans or Egyptians,” said UCD archaeologist Barry Molloy, who led the study. "What is new, however, is finding that these massive sites did not stand alone, they were part of a dense network of closely related and codependent communities. At their peak, the people living within this lower Pannonian network of sites must have numbered into the tens of thousands... Uniquely for prehistoric Europe, we are able to do more than identify the location of a few sites using satellite imagery but have been able to define an entire settled landscape, complete with maps of the size and layout of sites, even down to the locations of people’s homes within them. This really gives an unprecedented view of how these Bronze Age people lived with each other and their many neighbors."Fall in love with some activity, and do it! Nobody ever figures out what life is all about, and it doesn’t matter. Explore the world. Nearly everything is really interesting if you go into it deeply enough. Work as hard and as much as you want to on the things you like to do the best. Don’t think about what you want to be, but what you want to do.
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