Aurora stellaris

Today's topic falls into the category of "The More You Think About It, The Weirder It Gets," and comes to us courtesy of my writer friend Andrew Butters.

Before I get to the meat and potatoes of the story, two bits of background.

Auroras occur because of the solar wind, a powerful stream of particles (chiefly electrons and protons) emitted from the upper atmosphere of the Sun.  When they strike the Earth's upper atmosphere and interact with the various molecules in the air, this has the effect of exciting the electrons in the molecules (bouncing them to higher energy levels), and when those electrons fall back into the ground state, they emit the extra energy as light.  Because of the quantization of energy levels, each color (frequency) is associated with a particular transition in a particular element -- the commonest are reds and greens (from oxygen) and blues (from nitrogen).

Auroras on Earth are most often seen in high latitudes because of the shape of the Earth's magnetic field.  The slope of the magnetic field lines increases the closer you get to the poles, so at high latitudes it acts a bit like a funnel, creating spectacular displays in the Arctic and Antarctic regions.

Despite the fact that I feel like I feel like I live in the Frozen North (especially at this time of year), I've only ever gotten to see the auroras once.  It was about ten years ago, and we heard there was a solar storm and the "Northern Lights" were going to be seen a lot farther south than usual.  That night it was supposed to be crystal-clear -- also an unusual occurrence in this cloudy climate -- so once it was dark, my wife and I went across the street into the neighbor's field and watched for a while, with disappointing results of the "Is that a flicker?  I think that's a flicker" sort.

At some point my wife, who is clearly the brains of the operation, realized that we were looking for the Northern Lights, but we were facing south.  In our defense, there were fewer trees obstructing the sky in that direction, but it's still a little like the guy who was searching around the kitchen floor for his contact lens, and his wife joined him, but the two of them couldn't find it.  She finally said, "Are you sure you dropped it in the kitchen?"  And he responded, "No, I dropped it in the bathroom, but the light is better in here."

In any case, we turned around to the north...

.... and wow.

Over our rooftop and beyond the branches of the walnut trees was a light show like I've never seen before -- shifting curtains of green luminescence resembling some kind of gauzy emerald curtain.  It was spectacular.  We watched it for about forty-five minutes before it finally started to fade.

So if you're ever looking for auroras, make sure you're pointed the right way.

The second piece of background is that there is a strange astronomical object called a brown dwarf.  Brown dwarfs are almost-stars -- something on the order of twenty to eighty times the mass of the planet Jupiter.  Since the fusion of hydrogen into helium -- what powers stars' cores -- requires intense pressure to get started, there's a lower limit to the mass a star can have.  Below that mass, the gravity of its contents is insufficient to raise the pressure in the core to the point where fusion can begin, and what you end up with is something midway between a planet and a star.

Well, the link Andrew sent me is about a new discovery by the amazing James Webb Space Telescope -- of a brown dwarf, W1935, which has auroras.

On first glance, you might think, "why not?"  But remember how auroras are created.  They're caused by the interaction of a stream of high-energy particles with the atmosphere of a planet.

So where are the high-energy particles coming from?

Artist's illustration of W1935 [Image courtesy of artist Leah Hustak and NASA/ESA/CSA]

Even odder, the atmosphere of W1935 seems to have a temperature inversion -- a region of the atmosphere that warms, rather than cools, with increasing altitude.  Its upper atmosphere was glowing with the very specific infrared frequency given off when you heat methane.  So not only does it have auroras when there's no reason it should, there's some sort of a heat source that's creating convection in its atmosphere without it receiving an external heat input from a star.

"We expected to see methane, because methane is all over these brown dwarfs. But instead of absorbing light, we saw just the opposite: The methane was glowing," said Jackie Faherty, of the American Museum of Natural History, who led the study.  "My first thought was, what the heck?  Why is methane emission coming out of this object?...  With W1935, we now have a spectacular extension of a solar system phenomenon without any stellar irradiation to help in the explanation.  With the JWST, we can really 'open the hood' on the chemistry and unpack how similar or different the auroral process may be beyond our solar system."

So here we have one more example of a significant mystery out there in space, and yet another brilliant contribution to astronomy and astrophysics by the JWST.  It seems like every new cache of data opens up as many new questions as it solves old ones.  But that's the way it goes with science -- as Neil deGrasse Tyson put it, "As the area of our knowledge grows, so too does the perimeter of our ignorance."

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A message from Vrillon

Eminent astrophysicist Neil deGrasse Tyson made a trenchant and amusing observation apropos of people who see something moving across the night sky and forthwith declare that they've seen an alien spacecraft from another star system:

Remember what the "U" in "UFO" stands for.  It stands for "unidentified."  People see a light in the sky, and they say, "I don't know what it is... therefore it must be a spaceship piloted by an intelligent being from another planet."  Well, if you don't know what it is, that's where the conversation should stop.  You don't go on to say that it "must be" anything.

I was reminded of this when, quite by accident, I ran into an account of something that happened in England in November of 1977, but which is still causing aficionados of aliens to wiggle their eyebrows in a meaningful manner nearly fifty years later.  

[Image is in the Public Domain]

People in southern England watching television on the evening of November 26 suddenly had their regular programming replaced by a deep buzzing noise, followed by a distorted voice claiming to be Vrillon, a representative of the "Ashtar Galactic Command," who said the following (I've shortened it somewhat to keep it to a reasonable length):

For many years you have seen us as lights in the skies.  We speak to you now in peace and wisdom as we have done to your brothers and sisters all over this, your planet Earth.  We come to warn you of the destiny of your race and your world so that you may communicate to your fellow beings the course you must take to avoid the disaster which threatens your world, and the beings on our worlds around you.  This is in order that you may share in the great awakening, as the planet passes into the New Age of Aquarius...  Be still now and listen, for your chance may not come again.  All your weapons of evil must be removed. The time for conflict is now past and the race of which you are a part may proceed to the higher stages of its evolution if you show yourselves worthy to do this.  You have but a short time to learn to live together in peace and goodwill.  Small groups all over the planet are learning this, and exist to pass on the light of the dawning New Age to you all.  You are free to accept or reject their teachings, but only those who learn to live in peace will pass to the higher realms of spiritual evolution...  Be aware also that there are many false prophets and guides at present operating on your world.  They will suck your energy from you – the energy you call money and will put it to evil ends and give you worthless dross in return...  You must learn to be sensitive to the voice within that can tell you what is truth, and what is confusion, chaos and untruth...  We have watched you growing for many years as you too have watched our lights in your skies.  You know now that we are here, and that there are more beings on and around your Earth than your scientists admit.  We are deeply concerned about you and your path towards the light and will do all we can to help you.  Have no fear, seek only to know yourselves, and live in harmony with the ways of your planet Earth.  We here at the Ashtar Galactic Command thank you for your attention. We are now leaving the planes of your existence.  May you be blessed by the supreme love and truth of the cosmos.

Well, first let me just state up front that Vrillon sounds like a pretty swell guy, and frankly, I'm kinda deeply concerned about us, too.  I'd love it if we'd all put away our weapons and live together in peace and goodwill.  But we've been told since the 1960s that the New Age was upon us and soon everyone would ascend to a higher plane and the world would be all rainbows and flowers and fluffy bunnies forever afterward, and if you'll look around you, you'll see that none of that happened.  Worse, it turns out even the astrologers can't agree on when the Age of Aquarius is supposed to start, despite the song by The 5th Dimension making it sound like it was some kind of exact science.  An astrologer named Nicholas Campion did a study of different people's calculations, and found that about two-thirds of the astrologers said we were already in the Age of Aquarius, while the other one-third said it wasn't going to happen until the 24th century.

Kind of large error bars you got there.

In any case, after the broadcast interruption, the UK's Independent Broadcast Association was understandably torqued that someone had overridden their signal that way and gotten a huge number of television-watchers seriously stirred up, so they launched an investigation, wherein they concluded that someone had used a small unauthorized transmitter to hijack the IBA's Rowridge Transmitter on the Isle of Wight.

In other words: it was a prank.  If that wasn't already obvious.

The problem was, it wasn't obvious to a lot of people, and apparently still isn't.  This story is still making its way around websites, podcasts, and television shows about aliens, usually with the subtext of "What if Vrillon was real?"  One asked, "[How] can the IBA – or anyone else – be sure that the broadcast was a hoax?"

Well, I suppose it depends on what you mean by "sure."  The culprit was never caught, so there is no concrete proof that it was a signal hijack by a waggish human prankster.  And I guess since Vrillon said he was "leaving the planes of [our] existence" it's unsurprising we haven't heard from him again.  But there's the awkward fact that none of the stuff he predicted ended up happening, which is kind of problematic if you believe the voice was coming from a super-intelligent galaxy-traveling alien who had the inside scoop on where humanity was heading.

So the great likelihood is someone with a transmitter on the Isle of Wight read a goofy speech on-air and shook up most of southern England in 1977.  At the very most, all we can say is that the origin of the signal is unidentified.

And recall what Neil deGrasse Tyson said about that word.

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The air that I breathe

A month ago I looked at a geological oddity called banded iron formations -- alternating gray and red bands of iron-rich sediments that have been found all around the world, and all seem to date from about the same time (2.4 billion years ago).  These sedimentary deposits are thought to be the fingerprint of the Great Oxidation Event, when photosynthetic organisms began to pump so much molecular oxygen into the atmosphere that it literally changed the chemistry of the entire planet.

To understand how this happened will take a little bit of explaining.

Photosynthesizers such as plants, phytoplankton, and cyanobacteria evolved a trick for harvesting energy and storing it for use later.  Prior to this, all organisms were heterotrophs -- they required pre-formed organic compounds, which (fortunately for them) were abundant in the early oceans, created by the reducing atmosphere (reduced is chemist-speak for "capable of donating electrons") and sources of energy like lightning and ultraviolet light.  Heterotrophy back then was a fairly inefficient process.  The kind of energy processing they did only produced two ATP molecules, the energy currency of all cells, for every molecule of glucose metabolized.  (Glucose is the most commonly used energy containing molecule.)

Then, around 2.4 billion years ago a new metabolic pathway evolved that could produce ATP directly, driven by the energy in sunlight, rather than by breaking down pre-existing organic molecules.

This process, which probably was created by mutations in a chemosynthesis pathway of the kind we still see today in hydrothermal vent bacteria, used light-capturing pigments like chlorophyll to initiate a chain reaction called photophosphorylation to create ATP by the boatloads.  It required a source of electrons -- nearly all of the energy transfer in cells relies on the movement of electrons in what are called oxidation/reduction reactions -- and the cells performing photophosphorylation found it in abundance.

Water.

The problem was, pulling the electrons from water molecules makes them fall apart.  The result is a pair of hydrogen ions, which can be used for other chemical reactions in the cell -- and free oxygen, which is given off as a waste product.

This led to a huge problem for the rest of life on Earth, because to put not too fine a point on it, oxygen is really freakin' dangerous.  It is, unsurprisingly given the name, a strong oxidizer -- it's really good at pulling electrons away from other substances, which makes them fall apart.  This had the effect of stopping the natural production of food molecules in the ocean; with oxygen in the atmosphere and dissolved in the water, organic compounds now fell to pieces as soon as they were produced.

The result was that in the flip from a reducing atmosphere to an oxidizing atmosphere, nearly all life on Earth died.

The only survivors were:

1. The photosynthesizers -- i.e., the ones who caused the problem in the first place.  They were able to make their own food, so they didn't give a damn if everyone else starved.
2. A handful of anaerobic heterotrophs who were able to escape the oxygen.  We still have them today -- they live in places like anaerobic mud at the bottom of lakes and ponds.
3. A small number of cells that had a pathway to detoxify oxygen.  This pathway involved essentially reversing photosynthesis, combining oxygen with hydrogen ions to lock it up harmlessly as water.  A side benefit -- which ultimately became its major benefit -- is that this is a powerful energy-releasing pathway, and once you can hitch it to ATP production, it's capable of producing 36 ATP molecules per glucose instead of 2, increasing the efficiency of energy capture by a factor of eighteen.  It has to be done in steps -- oxidizing molecules all at once is called "combustion" -- but if it can be slowed down and harnessed, it's a fantastic way of processing energy.  This stepwise oxidation, called the electron transport chain, was such a tremendous advantage that this group -- the aerobic heterotrophs -- basically went out and took over the entire planet.  In fact, they're our ancestors and the ancestors of all the other life forms on Earth that are dependent on oxygen.

The reason all this comes up is a recent discovery I was alerted to by a friend and loyal reader of Skeptophilia.  Researchers analyzing sedimentary rocks from Australia and Canada found fossils of single-celled organisms dating to 1.75 billion years ago that contain traces of thylakoids -- the layered membranes inside chloroplasts on the surfaces of which the oxygen-releasing photophosphorylation reactions take place.  So what we have here are fossils so finely preserved that they retain details not only of cells, nor the organelles inside cells, but the structures inside organelles inside cells.

And not just any old structures.  These, or ones very like them, are the same things that caused all the havoc during the Great Oxidation Event.

Emmanuelle Javaux, of the Université de Liège, who led the study, said, "Their production of oxygen led to accumulation of oxygen and profoundly modified the chemistry of the Earth’s oceans and atmosphere, and the evolution of the biosphere, including complex life."

It's astonishing that traces of these delicate organelles could last in the fossil record for 1.75 billion years.  It gives us a lens into an Earth we wouldn't even recognize, a time when there was nothing whatsoever living on the land, the most complex life was composed of simple clusters of cells, and the oceans were a rapidly-thinning soup of organic monomers.  In a very real sense these microscopic structures created the Earth we see around us today.  Without these tiny pancake-like membranes, the Earth would be a very different place -- one we would not find survivable.

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Big apple

On August 14, 2003, my wife and I were returning from a trip to Hawaii.  It was a lovely vacation, but the return home was, to put it mildly, fraught with mishaps.  The most spectacular one occurred as we were descending into LaGuardia Airport in New York City.  It was late afternoon and I was watching the lights of the city zooming along below us, when, all of a sudden...

... the entire skyline went dark.

I nudged Carol and asked her to confirm that I was, in fact, seeing what I thought I was seeing.  The pilot landed the plane, but the jet bridges weren't working so we deplaned via a rolling ladder.  The entire airport was dark except for a few lights that were kept on by a generator.  Remember that this is a little less than two years after 9/11, so our immediate (and terrifying) thought was that it was a terrorist attack, but it turned out we'd gotten caught up in the Great Northeastern Blackout, which knocked out the electricity to a huge chunk of the northeastern United States and eastern Canada, and which apparently had been triggered by a software bug.

The upshot was we got stuck in the airport overnight with a bunch of other people who were also trying to get back to the Ithaca area, and one of these was a very nice woman who worked for the Apple Genomics Project at Cornell Orchards.  That evening she and I had a real Nerd-O-Rama about the ins and outs of plant genetics, which was a very peculiar way to make the best of a bad situation.

She and her team had a fascinating job -- going all over Europe, the Caucasus, Anatolia, and Central Asia looking for apple germ line -- basically, anything that can be used to reproduce an entire tree (seeds and cuttings being two of the most obvious examples).  They hired translators to accompany them, who asked locals to point out the best apple trees for various uses -- cooking, cider, making wine or vinegar, drying/preserving, or eating fresh -- and they took samples of germ line (along with copious notes) to bring home to the Orchards for growing and hybridizing.  Besides just looking for good fruit quality, they were also interested in finding strains that are resistant to pests and diseases.

The most diversity they discovered was in Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, which is where apples originate.  ("American as apple pie" is about as inaccurate as you can get; apples not only aren't native to the United States, they were brought into North America in the mid-1600s by a Frenchman, Pierre Martin -- who settled in Nova Scotia.)  And some research out of the Max Planck Institute for the Science of Human History that appeared last week in Frontiers in Plant Science found that the spread of apples from their homeland, thousands of miles across Europe, was due to two factors; megafauna and the Silk Road.

[Image licensed under the Creative Commons Sandstein, Civni-Rubens apple, CC BY 3.0]

The modern apple is the result of hybridization between at least four wild species, followed by centuries of backcrossing and artificial selection.  Let apples cross-pollinate and plant the seeds, and you'll end up with something like a wild crabapple.  Originally, the bright fruits of apples were eaten by large herbivores like horses and wild cattle, and the seeds dispersed long distances, but with the disappearance of the huge herds that used to exist in central Asia, apple seeds were poorly dispersed.  (Apples aren't the only plants that got into trouble when their seed-disperser disappeared, something about which I wrote in more detail a couple of years ago.)  Fortunately for apples, though, their many uses were noted by humans, and when people moved -- especially along the Silk Road -- they took apple germ line with them, just as my Cornell researcher friend did a thousand years later.

The author, Robert Nicholas Spengler, writes:

Large fruits in Rosaceae [the family apples belong to] evolved as a seed-dispersal adaptation recruiting megafaunal mammals of the late Miocene.  Genetic studies illustrate that the increase in fruit size and changes in morphology during evolution in the wild resulted from hybridization events and were selected for by large seed dispersers.  Humans over the past three millennia have fixed larger-fruiting hybrids through grafting and cloning.  Ultimately, the process of evolution under human cultivation parallels the natural evolution of larger fruits in the clade as an adaptive strategy, which resulted in mutualism with large mammalian seed dispersers (disperser recruitment).

Current archaeobotanical evidence seems to suggest that apple domestication took place over a period of less than 100 generations, much less for the earliest morphological changes.  It seems feasible that rapid domestication through hybridization occurred in as little as one or a few generations, and most of the modern diversity in landraces is probably a recent phenomenon, through directed breeding.  Not only do protracted models of domestication fall short when discussing apples, the concept of a “center” of domestication is misleading. Genetic studies illustrate that wild apple populations across Europe and West Asia collectively contributed to the modern domesticated apple in a hybrid complex of species distributed across a continent and a half.

So that's something to think about next time you bite into a crisp apple -- you're enjoying a fruit that has roots reaching back millions of years, the current shape, color, and taste of which were created by megafaunal seed dispersers and the travel of human populations down the Silk Road.

Oh, and we eventually did get back home.  Carol and I, our geneticist friend, and four other people finally decided to hire a limousine when it became obvious that (1) the power, and therefore the airport, was going to be out of commission for a long time, and (2) there wasn't a rental car to be had anywhere in the New York City area.  We figured that splitting the cost of a limousine all the way to Ithaca seven ways wasn't going to be much more than each of us separately hiring a rental car anyhow.  All was going well until the limousine overheated and died in the middle of nowhere in the Poconos, leaving us stranded by the side of the highway with all our luggage.

By then, even my new friend and I didn't feel much like talking about genetics.

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A cosmic slide whistle

In 1894, physicist Albert Michelson said, "It seems probable that most of the grand underlying principles [in science] have been firmly established …  An eminent physicist remarked that the future truths of physical science are to be looked for in the sixth place of decimals."

The irony of this statement is twofold.  First, within thirty years, the entire field of physics would be upended twice, by Einstein's Special and General Theories of Relativity, and from the development by Niels Bohr, Louis de Broglie, and Erwin Schrödinger of the Quantum Model.  Second, it was the null result from the experiment Michelson himself performed with Edward Morley that disproved the existence of the luminiferous aether and directly led to Einstein's revolutionary theories about the nature of light and motion.

The fact is, there is still a ton of stuff we don't fully understand, and then there are all the things that we don't even know we don't know.  The universe is full of mystery, and there will be plenty to keep scientists occupied for a very, very long time.

Take, for example, a paper last week in Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society about a bizarre twist on an already poorly-understood phenomenon -- the fast radio burst.  These sudden explosive blasts in the radio region of the spectrum, lasting between 0.001 and 3 seconds, pack as much energy in that time as the entire Sun emits in three days.  Some are transient, but others -- like the euphoniously-named FRB 180916.J0158+65 -- have a regular periodicity, in this particular case 16.35 days.

[Image licensed under the Creative Commons ESO/M. Kornmesser, Artist’s impression of a fast radio burst traveling through space and reaching Earth, CC BY 4.0]

Since their discovery in 2007, hundreds of fast radio bursts have been observed.  Given their unpredictability and ephemeral nature -- you have to have your radio telescope aimed at exactly the right place in the sky at exactly the right time, and you have a window of under three seconds to see them -- it's probable that they are insanely common, and we just miss 99% of them.  Canadian astrophysicist Victoria Kaspi estimates that over ten thousand fast radio bursts happen somewhere in the sky every single day, so there's potentially a huge amount of data out there to study if we can only figure out a way to observe them.

Explanations for what these things could be are all over the map, and include hitherto-unknown behavior of neutron stars, magnetars, black holes, collapsing/dying supergiant stars, or some combination thereof.

Or an alien intelligence trying to signal us.  Admit it, you knew this had to come up.

The bottom line is the astrophysicists still don't know what causes fast radio bursts, much less why some repeat and some don't.  And the whole thing just got a lot weirder with the discovery by observers at the SETI (Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence) Institute, who found a fast radio burst that had 35 explosive outbursts -- and each one slid up the frequency scale before it ended, drawing comparisons to an enormous outer space slide whistle.

What could cause a fast radio burst to sweep up the frequency scale in that fashion is, at the moment, beyond guessing.  All we know is that is that what was already a mystery just became a hell of a lot more mysterious.

So I think Michelson may have been a wee bit hasty in proclaiming science to be settled except insofar as calculating things to six decimal places.  I suspect that a closer estimate -- if it were possible to do such a thing -- is that the bits of the universe we understand well are hugely outnumbered by the bits we still haven't a clue about.  I prefer the assessment made by Carl Sagan: "Out there, something incredible is still waiting to be known."

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Hello Dolly

Despite my tendency to fall into the "dubious" column with respect to most paranormal claims, I'm always appreciative of anyone who is more of a believer who nevertheless wants to see any evidence analyzed the right way.

That's my impression of The Anomalist, a website I check regularly for news of the weird.  It acts as a sort of clearinghouse for recent stories of odd or unexplained phenomena, but is really good about presenting all sides of the story -- and for calling out bogus claims as such.

Take, for example, some stories that appeared there having to do with the alleged phenomenon of "haunted dolls."

For a lot of us, dolls are right up there with clowns in the "oh, hell no" department.  Their blank, unresponsive faces and fixed expressions land right in the middle of the uncanny valley -- we tend to perceive a face that is human-like, but not quite human enough, as being more frightening or repellant than a face that has fewer distinctly human features.  (Think of a doll's face as compared to a teddy bear's, for example.)  So we're already in scary territory for a good many folks.

Add to that the possibility of the doll being possessed, and you're looking at "scream like a little child and run away."

It's no wonder that the recent creepy Doctor Who episode, "The Giggle," featured a doll called Stooky Bill.  Stooky Bill was real enough -- he was a ventriloquist's dummy that was used by Scottish electronics pioneer John Logie Baird as a subject for the first-ever image transmitted over a television signal -- but in the episode, Stooky Bill (and his wife and "babbies") are brought to life by an evil alien called the Toymaker (played to perfection by Neil Patrick Harris).  The scariest scene in the entire episode was when the wife and children dolls first talk to, then attack, companion Donna Noble in an empty room as she and the Doctor are trying to escape the labyrinth where the Toymaker has trapped them.

Something about their still, expressionless faces, that even so are moving and speaking, is absolutely terrifying.

A while back The Anomalist looked at a couple of examples of the haunted doll phenomenon.  The first is a World War II-era ventriloquist's dummy head called "Mr. Fritz" kept in a glass cabinet by its owner.  The owner started getting suspicious when he'd get up in the morning to find the cabinet door open, so he set up a camera to film it when he wasn't around.

The result, even if you're suspicious it's a fake, is pretty fucking creepy.  The glass door swings open, Mr. Fritz's eyes pop open -- and then his mouth moves.

After this, the owner apparently took the doll head out of the case and put it in a cabinet "secured by heavy chains."  Why this was necessary, given all that happens is the door opens and the face moves, I don't know.  It's not like it had arms and legs and was walking about unassisted, or anything.

Still, I understand the apprehension.  Skeptic though I am, I don't think I'd want to sleep in the same room as that thing, heavy chains or no.

Then we have a British doll named Scarlet, who has been recorded using an "Electronic Voice Phenomena" (EVP) recorder -- and what she supposedly says indicates she should have her prim little porcelain mouth washed out with soap.

In a video of the doll, we get to hear playback of the alleged EVP.  Not only does she supposedly say her owner's name (Linzi), she says such things as "fuck off," "you're fucked," "shut the fuck up," and "fuck this."

So apparently Scarlet is even more fond of the f-word than I am, and that's saying something.

Anyhow, I listened to the recording several times -- and I'm just not hearing it.  I could barely make out "Linzi," but all of the alleged obscenities sounded like white noise to me.  And that's the problem; as is pointed out in The Anomalist, there's a good explanation for a great many alleged EVP claims, and that's apophenia.  The human mind is a pattern-finding machine, which means that sometimes we'll see patterns when there's nothing there but chaos. (You can think of our tendency to see faces -- pareidolia -- as a special case of apophenia.)

With Scarlet, people are already primed to hear something meaningful, so the static pops, clicks, and hums the EVP recorder plays back are interpreted with this bias.  Especially when we already know what the doll allegedly said -- it's all listed right there in the article.

Put simply, you can't miss it when I tell you what's there.

The Anomalist provides a link to an article in The Skeptical Inquirer about this very tendency -- looking at particular cases of EVP claims and analyzing why they're probably nothing more than our tendency to impose order on chaos.

So unlike a lot of sensationalized sites about alleged paranormal phenomena, I can hold up The Anomalist as a place that has the exact right approach.  I'm probably still a bit more dubious than the site owners are, but by and large, we both have the same touchstone for accepting a claim -- logic and evidence.

And a bit of healthy skepticism about humanity's capacity both for getting things wrong... and for engaging in fakery.

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The mystery of the Etruscans

One of the unresolved mysteries of European anthropology is where the Etruscans fit into the big picture.

The Etruscans lived in northwestern Italy, in the region now called Tuscany -- in fact, the name Tuscany comes from the Latin Tusci, one of several names they had for the people who lived there.  The Greeks called them the Τυρσηνοί -- the Tyrrhenians -- etymologically related both to Etruria (the region where they lived) and, obviously, the Tyrrhenian Sea that still bears their name.  They called themselves the Rasenna, a word which, like most of their language, is of uncertain origin.

The big question is whether the Etruscans were autochthonous (academia-speak for "they'd always been there") or allochthonous (migrants from somewhere else -- and if so, from where?).  Of course, the truth is that all Europeans are ultimately allochthonous, because we all started out in east Africa -- it's just that some of us have been in place for a lot longer than others.  We know the Etruscans were already in that region when the Romans got there, who encountered them in something like 500 B.C.E. and ultimately absorbed them completely.  (An occupation the Romans excelled at.)

The historian Thucydides said they were related to the Pelasgians, a bit of a catch-all term ancient Greeks used to describe the inhabitants of Greece prior to the arrival of the classical Greek-speaking Dorians, Ionians, Achaeans, and Aeolians.  The word Pelasgian was almost synonymous with barbarian -- the ancient Greeks and ancient Romans shared a rather off-putting self-congratulatory bent, summed up as "if you're not us, sucks to be you."  

Of course, they're hardly the only civilization to feel that way.  I could name a modern one or two that still haven't gotten over that attitude.

In any case, there's good evidence that the Etruscans had already been there a while when the Romans encountered them, and that they were not closely related to the people in the neighborhood.  Their language, for example, is still a mystery, and has only been partly deciphered by linguists.  The general consensus is that, like Euskara (the language of the Basque people), it is non-Indo European.  There are two other languages it seems to be related to -- the Rhaetic language, an extinct language once spoken by people in what is now eastern Switzerland and western Austria, and Lemnian, spoken on the distant island of Lemnos in the Aegean Sea prior to their being conquered by speakers of Attic Greek in the sixth century B.C.E. 

The latter suggests that Thucydides may have been right on the money in connecting the Etruscans to the Pelasgians.  Together, Etruscan, Rhaetic, and Lemnian seem to be related to no other known languages, and are tentatively classified as a linguistic isolate family (Tyrsenian).

None other than the Roman Emperor Claudius wrote a twenty-volume set on the history and language of the Etruscans -- apparently he himself was a fluent speaker, and was fascinated by their culture -- but tragically, no trace of that extensive manuscript remains.  It's one of a long list of works we only know by their titles, and through references in other books.

The Monteleone Chariot, bronze inlaid with ivory, from sixth century B.C.E. Etruria [Image is in the Public Domain]

A genetic study of Etruscan remains found that they seemed to be related to the central European Urnfield Culture -- so named because of their practice of cremation and burial in ceramic urns -- which probably originated on the steppes of eastern Europe.  But as this path was a pretty common one -- the ancestors of the Celts, Slavs, Hungarians, and Germanic peoples all came that way -- it might not tell us all that much about how or when the Etruscans arrived.

At least their later history was happier than that of many people who bumped into the Romans.  There was some warring and jockeying for power, which the Etruscans ultimately lost, but they were eventually subsumed into the Roman Republic, becoming full Roman citizens.  Many Etruscan towns went on to make large amounts of money as middlemen between the Romans and the conquered Celtic tribes to the north and west.  Several prominent families who were to rise to position of power in the Republic (and later Empire) had Etruscan roots, including the Caecinia, Urgulania, Tarquinia, and Volumnia families, all names that will be familiar to aficionados of Roman history.  Most of the people from modern Tuscany have Etruscan roots, indicating their ancestors have been living in the same place for over three thousand years.

In the end, though, we're left with a mystery.  A people who left behind buildings and works of art and an only partly-understood language, whose connections to other ancient peoples are lost to the shadows of time.  And a mystery is always fascinating -- even if we might never fully discover the answers to all the questions.

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